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I still can't predict a UK victory. Kentucky has a legitimate shot, though.

Both teams are well into their seasons, so I have to base my prediction on what the teams have done. On that basis, Alabama's been better.

But Alabama can't get much better than they've been already. I don't really buy the notion that it's a 'trap' game for them, but even if they play well they're still likely to play a little worse than they played against Georgia.

Kentucky, on the other hand, is much more likely to take a huge leap forward. If Tony Dixon runs into holes rather than diving into them, (or if he plays a lot less) it will help. If any one of the young receivers manages to hold onto a couple of passes, it will help a lot, too.